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Will data center power-cost standards become law?

Chance

53%

Buy Yes

74¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

67¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$672

as Kalshi reports it · 7 fills

Spread

41¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 44¢$18
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 81¢$34
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 80¢$8
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 91¢$182
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 74¢$15
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 47¢$94
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 40¢$80

Rules

If a bill establishing data center power-cost standards has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The provision may appear in any legislative vehicle. It must establish a standard for data-center customers with aggregate peak demand of at least 100 megawatts at one site or campus: recovery from the customer of full incremental generation, transmission, or distribution upgrade costs, including after contract termination, plus financial assurances or contributions before upgrades. The Ratepayer Protection Act's PURPA mechanism requiring state regulators and nonregulated utilities to consider this standard qualifies; state adoption is not required. A substantively equivalent mandatory federal standard also qualifies. Committee action or passage by only one chamber does not constitute becoming law.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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