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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Michael Salazar in Salazar v. Paramount Global

Chance

41%

Buy Yes

45¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

63¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$4

as Kalshi reports it · 1 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Aug 1, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 8 hours agoBought no at 63¢$3

Rules

How this market is decided

If the Supreme Court, in Salazar v. Paramount Global, rules the VPPA’s definition of “consumer” includes subscribers to any goods or services from a video tape service provider, not only its audiovisual goods or services, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Salazar v. Paramount Global, that the phrase “goods or services from a video tape service provider” in the Video Privacy Protection Act’s definition of “consumer” refers to all of that provider’s goods or services and is not limited to its audiovisual goods or services, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A ruling that the phrase covers only audiovisual goods or services resolves to No. If the case is dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without resolving this interpretive question on the merits, the market resolves to No; a remand accompanying the qualifying merits holding resolves to Yes.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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