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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

What will be the top AI model this month?

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoSold yes at $1
  • yesterdaySold yes at $0
How this market is decidedShow

If claude-opus-5-max is the top-ranked AI model on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.