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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

What will be the top AI model this month?

Chance

82%

Buy Yes

83¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

20¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 84¢$4
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 85¢$1
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 57¢$3
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 58¢$2
  • 22 hours agoBought no at 17¢$0
  • 22 hours agoBought no at 17¢$2
  • 22 hours agoBought no at 18¢$34
  • 22 hours agoBought no at 16¢$1
  • 22 hours agoSold yes at 88¢$10
  • yesterdayBought no at 16¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Sep 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.