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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 40.0 on Sep 17, 2026?

Pays out if the result is 40 to 40.

Chance

7%

Buy Yes

11¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Sep 17, 4:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 31 seconds agoBought no at 98¢$45
  • 3 minutes agoBought no at 98¢$22
  • 9 minutes agoBought no at 98¢$14
  • 17 minutes agoBought no at 94¢$39
  • 17 minutes agoBought no at 94¢$0
  • 17 minutes agoBought no at 94¢$21
  • 17 minutes agoBought no at 94¢$1
  • 17 minutes agoBought no at 94¢$1
  • 17 minutes agoBought no at 88¢$2
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 84¢$2
How this market is decidedShow

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 40.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.