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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 39.7 on Sep 17, 2026?

Pays out if the result is below 39.7.

Chance

32%

Buy Yes

36¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

72¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 seconds ago. Ends Sep 17, 4:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 70¢$28
  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 69¢$1
  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 69¢$13
  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 69¢$2
  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 69¢$1
  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 70¢$1
  • 5 minutes agoBought no at 76¢$2
  • 10 minutes agoSold yes at 32¢$10
  • 10 minutes agoSold yes at 32¢$1
  • 15 minutes agoSold yes at 31¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.