Kalshi· Economics

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 86,000 MW?

Pays out if the result is above 86,000.

Chance

12%

Buy Yes

20¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 4:55 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 79,000 MW?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 80,000 MW?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 81,000 MW?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 82,000 MW?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 83,000 MW?97¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 84,000 MW?92¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 85,000 MW?30¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 85,500 MW?25¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 86,500 MW?10¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 87,000 MW?2¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 87,500 MW?2¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 be above 88,000 MW?1¢

How this market is decidedShow

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 17, 2026 is above 86,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

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