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Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 18, 2026 be above 85,000 MW?

Pays out if the result is above 85,000.

Chance

30%

Buy Yes

49¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

89¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$24

as Kalshi reports it · 10 fills

Spread

38¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Sep 19, 4:55 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 13 minutes agoSold yes at 50¢$4
  • 13 minutes agoSold yes at 40¢$0
  • 13 minutes agoSold yes at 39¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 90¢$5
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 87¢$1
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 40¢$0
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 50¢$2
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 35¢$0
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 76¢$1
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 76¢$0

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT). Contract terms (PDF)

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 18, 2026 is above 85,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 18, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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