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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.86.

Chance

76%

Buy Yes

76¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 11¢$11
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 9¢$1
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 91¢$2
  • yesterdayBought no at 53¢$53
  • yesterdayBought no at 52¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 53¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 51¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 53¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 48¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 18, 2026, or one week following Sep 18, 2026.