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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.88.

Chance

28%

Buy Yes

29¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

73¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 16 minutes agoSold yes at 25¢$25
  • 19 minutes agoBought no at 72¢$7
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 11¢$11
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 18, 2026, or one week following Sep 18, 2026.