Kalshi· Climate and Weather

Will there be at least 2 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Pays out if the result is 2 or more.

Chance

49%

Buy Yes

78¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

80¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Jun 29, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 2, then the market resolves to Yes.

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