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KalshiKalshi· Climate and Weather

Will there be at least 3 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Pays out if the result is 3 or more.

Chance

18%

Buy Yes

24¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Jun 29, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 26¢$6
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 20¢$1
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 21¢$1
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 26¢$4
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 26¢$1
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$11
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes.