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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Augusto Cury receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Pays out if the result is 10 or more.

Chance

13%

Buy Yes

18¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

91¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • yesterdayBought no at 77¢$4
  • yesterdayBought no at 77¢$12
  • yesterdayBought no at 76¢$2
  • yesterdayBought no at 79¢$158
  • yesterdayBought no at 78¢$156
  • yesterdayBought no at 76¢$152
How this market is decidedShow

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Augusto Cury in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 10% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is Augusto Cury's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.