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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Augusto Cury receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Pays out if the result is 15 or more.

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

10¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

92¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Augusto Cury in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is Augusto Cury's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.