Kalshi · Elections

Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Oakland County, Michigan?

Pays out if the result is 58 or more.

Open in Terminal Compare venues

Chance

31%

Buy Yes

35¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

73¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

8¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Order book

Live from the venue feed · updated 22 hours ago

Buy Yes (bids)

19¢200$38
7¢59$4
6¢17$1
2¢99$2
1¢142$1

Sell Yes (asks)

28¢271$76
66¢35$23
67¢53$36
78¢28$22
88¢51$45

Spread: 9¢
Mid: 23.5¢
Microprice: 22.8¢
Within 5¢: $38 · $195

More money on NoImbalance -67%More money on Yes

Latest trades

2 days agoBought no at 75¢$54
2 days agoBought no at 73¢$613
2 days agoBought no at 72¢$623
2 days agoBought no at 72¢$51
2 days agoBought no at 72¢$46
2 days agoBought no at 73¢$146

Rules

How this market is decided

Settled by Elections Bureau, Office of the Secretary of State, Lansing, MI, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Oakland County, Michigan is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

Rule history

First recordedNo changes since.Sep 19, 12:15 AM UTC