Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Oakland County, Michigan?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Oakland County, Michigan is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.