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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Troy Carter receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?

Pays out if the result is 70 or more.

Chance

64%

Buy Yes

67¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

40¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Troy Carter in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Troy Carter ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.