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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Troy Carter receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election?

Pays out if the result is 84 or more.

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Troy Carter in the first round of the 2026 LA-02 House election is 84% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Troy Carter ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.