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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?

Pays out if the result is 5 or more.

Chance

21%

Buy Yes

24¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

82¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 25¢$0
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 82¢$1
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 75¢$150
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 68¢$0
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 68¢$52
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 68¢$3
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 41¢$2
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 42¢$3
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 43¢$30
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 64¢$128
How this market is decidedShow

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Natalie Fleming in the 2026 Idaho Senate election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Natalie Fleming ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.