Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?

Chance

21%

Buy Yes

22¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

79¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoBought no at 79¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 79¢$1
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 79¢$1
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 79¢$1
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 79¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If Ding Xuexiang is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.