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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 22?

Chance

19%

Buy Yes

22¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

85¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$1.4K

as Polymarket reports it · 28 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 19 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 16 minutes ago · feed disconnected

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 15¢5$0
  • 14¢55$8
  • 11¢67$7
  • 10¢25$3
  • 100$8

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 20¢57$11
  • 22¢20$4
  • 27¢5$1
  • 33¢23$7
  • 35¢104$36
Spread
Mid
17.5¢
Microprice
15.4¢
Within 5¢
$18 · $61
More money on NoImbalance -54%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 12 minutes agoBought No at 88.9¢$71
  • 43 minutes agoBought No at 85¢$7
  • 51 minutes agoBought Yes at 14¢$1
  • 5 hours agoSold No at 87¢$18
  • 7 hours agoBought No at 78¢$16
  • 7 hours agoSold Yes at 16¢$7
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 16¢$1
  • 8 hours agoBought No at 76¢$4
  • 8 hours agoBought No at 76¢$10
  • 8 hours agoBought No at 76¢$2

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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