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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?

Chance

62%

Buy Yes

64¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

40¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$2.5K

as Polymarket reports it · 48 fills

Spread

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 19 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 32 seconds ago · feed disconnected

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 58¢154$90
  • 57¢81$46
  • 49¢61$30
  • 48¢100$48
  • 44¢113$50

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 60¢5$3
  • 61¢6$4
  • 65¢20$13
  • 66¢6$4
  • 68¢6$4
Spread
Mid
59¢
Microprice
59.9¢
Within 5¢
$136 · $11
More money on NoImbalance +85%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 30 minutes agoSold Yes at 60¢$18
  • 31 minutes agoBought Yes at 64¢$13
  • 32 minutes agoBought Yes at 63.7¢$10
  • 36 minutes agoBought Yes at 64¢$1
  • 41 minutes agoBought Yes at 62¢$6
  • 42 minutes agoSold No at 40¢$8
  • 42 minutes agoSold No at 41¢$2
  • 42 minutes agoBought Yes at 58¢$12
  • 43 minutes agoBought No at 45¢$3
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 39¢$8

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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