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PolymarketPolymarket· Oil · Iran · Yemen · Hormuz

Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

4.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 12 hours agoSold Yes at 1.6¢$0
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 1.7¢$0
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 1.8¢$0
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 1.6¢$0
  • 15 hours agoSold No at 96.4¢$36
  • 16 hours agoBought No at 95¢$17
  • 16 hours agoBought No at 94.3¢$19
  • 16 hours agoBought No at 94¢$6
  • 16 hours agoBought No at 94.6¢$38
  • 16 hours agoBought No at 95¢$10