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PolymarketPolymarket· Oil · Iran · Yemen · Hormuz

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?

Chance

41%

Buy Yes

42¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

61¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 5 hours agoBought No at 59¢$5
  • 5 hours agoSold No at 55¢$3
  • 5 hours agoSold No at 55¢$4
  • 5 hours agoSold Yes at 45¢$8
  • 5 hours agoBought No at 55¢$39
  • 5 hours agoSold No at 54¢$6
  • 6 hours agoSold No at 54¢$9
  • 7 hours agoSold No at 55¢$3
  • 7 hours agoSold Yes at 45¢$5
  • 7 hours agoSold No at 54¢$11