Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 40%-45%?

Chance

30%

Buy Yes

58¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 21 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 0%-15%?63¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 15%-25%?58¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 25%-30%?61¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 30%-35%?82¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 35%-40%?60¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 45%-50%?59¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 50%-55%?80¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election by 55% or more?70¢
Can’t both happenWill a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election?62¢