CA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the CA-10 US House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 30-35% | 43% | — | 83¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 42% | — | 83¢ | |
| Democrat 55%+ | 36% | — | 70¢ | |
| Democrat 0-15% | 33% | — | 63¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 32% | — | 61¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 32% | — | 62¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 31% | — | 60¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 31% | — | 59¢ | |
| Democrat 15-25% | 30% | — | 58¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 30% | — | 58¢ |
Democrat 30-35%
43%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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