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PolymarketPolymarket· China · Politics · Geopolitics · World

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Chance

<1%

Buy Yes

0.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 48 minutes agoSold No at 99.6¢$30
  • 9 hours agoSold Yes at 0.3¢$5
  • 10 hours agoBought No at 99.6¢$34
  • 10 hours agoBought No at 99.6¢$10
  • 10 hours agoBought No at 99.6¢$89
  • 11 hours agoBought No at 99.6¢$5
  • 11 hours agoBought No at 99.6¢$83
  • 11 hours agoBought No at 99.6¢$102
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 0.4¢$2
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 0.4¢$1