Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
The market resolves based on whether China invades Taiwan by September 30, 2026.
Polymarket$466 traded 24hEnds Sep 30, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | <1% | — | 0.4¢ |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
<1%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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