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PolymarketPolymarket· Politics · Macro Election 2 · Main Election · Brazil

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

54%

Buy Yes

54.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

45.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 30 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 13 minutes agoBought Yes at 54.3¢$3
  • 16 minutes agoBought Yes at 54.3¢$2
  • 20 minutes agoBought No at 45.9¢$1
  • 30 minutes agoSold No at 45.7¢$18
  • 31 minutes agoBought No at 45.7¢$17
  • 33 minutes agoBought No at 45.7¢$1
  • 33 minutes agoBought Yes at 54.4¢$3
  • 46 minutes agoBought No at 45.7¢$1
  • 46 minutes agoBought No at 45.7¢$2
  • 46 minutes agoBought Yes at 54.4¢$20