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PolymarketPolymarket· Politics · Macro Election 2 · Main Election · Brazil

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

44%

Buy Yes

45¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

56¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 22 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 3 minutes agoSold Yes at 44¢$0
  • 23 minutes agoBought Yes at 45¢$5
  • 29 minutes agoBought Yes at 45¢$2
  • 33 minutes agoBought No at 56¢$2
  • 41 minutes agoBought Yes at 45¢$1
  • 56 minutes agoBought Yes at 45¢$6
  • 57 minutes agoBought Yes at 45¢$800
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 56¢$3
  • 1 hour agoBought Yes at 45¢$2
  • 1 hour agoBought Yes at 45¢$2