Polymarket· Mexico · Mexico Cartel War · jalisco · Geopolitics

Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

Chance

32%

Buy Yes

36.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

71.6¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 17 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share