Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
This market resolves based on which of the listed cartel leaders are arrested in 2026.
- hugo gonzalo mendoza gaytan
- iván archivaldo guzmán salazar
- jesús alfredo guzmán salazar
- juan carlos valencia gonzalez
- juan pablo ledezma
- juan reyes mejía gonzález
PolymarketEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Reyes Mejía González | 62% | — | 93¢ | |
| Juan Pablo Ledezma | 50% | — | 90¢ | |
| Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar | 50% | — | 53¢ | |
| Ricardo Ruiz Velasco | 46% | — | 86¢ | |
| Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan | 37% | — | 68.5¢ | |
| Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar | 33% | — | 37.8¢ | |
| Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez | 26% | — | 44¢ |
Juan Reyes Mejía González
62%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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