Polymarket · views · Culture · MrBeast · YouTube

Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?

Chance

13%

Buy Yes

15¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

89¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$2.7K

as Polymarket reports it · 10 fills

Spread

4¢

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 28 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Order book

Live from the venue feed · updated 2 seconds ago

Buy Yes (bids)

11¢10$1
7¢25$2
6¢300$18
5¢500$25
4¢229$9

Sell Yes (asks)

15¢15$2
16¢240$38
17¢555$94
19¢5$0
22¢202$44

Spread: 4¢
Mid: 13¢
Microprice: 12.6¢
Within 5¢: $21 · $679

More money on NoImbalance -94%More money on Yes

Latest trades

41 minutes agoBought No at 88.4¢$470
45 minutes agoBought No at 85¢$9
45 minutes agoBought No at 85¢$4
45 minutes agoBought No at 85¢$4
45 minutes agoBought No at 85¢$17
46 minutes agoBought No at 89¢$13
46 minutes agoBought No at 88¢$5
1 hour agoBought Yes at 21.4¢$2
2 hours agoBought No at 89¢$3
2 hours agoBought Yes at 30¢$300

Rules

How this market is decided

As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Rule history

First recordedNo changes since.Sep 17, 2:36 PM UTC