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Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Chance

16%

Buy Yes

20¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$1.1K

as Polymarket reports it · 9 fills

Spread

8¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 28 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 44 minutes agoBought No at 88¢$4
  • 44 minutes agoBought No at 88¢$5
  • 44 minutes agoBought No at 88¢$9
  • 45 minutes agoSold Yes at 13¢$2
  • 45 minutes agoBought No at 87¢$17
  • 45 minutes agoBought No at 87¢$5
  • 45 minutes agoBought No at 87¢$12
  • 1 hour agoBought Yes at 20¢$4
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 87¢$3

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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