Polymarket· Politics · New Zealand Election · Global Elections · Elections

Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

5.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Nov 7, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?1.9¢
Can’t both happenWill Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?58¢
Can’t both happenWill Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?15¢
Can’t both happenWill Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more?15.8¢
Can’t both happenWill Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?13¢
Can’t both happenWill National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?36¢
Can’t both happenWill National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?5.1¢