NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
The market resolves based on the popular vote margin of victory in the New Zealand election.
- new zealand
- labour party (new zealand)
- national party (new zealand)
- politics
- new zealand politics
- elections
Polymarket$1 traded 24hEnds Nov 6, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National 0-5% | 24% | — | 28¢ | |
| Labour 0-5% | 20% | — | 28¢ | |
| Labour 10-15% | 12% | — | 15¢ | |
| Labour 5-10% | 9% | — | 12¢ | |
| Labour 15%+ | 9% | — | 16.2¢ | |
| National 10%+ | 4% | — | 5.9¢ | |
| National 5-10% | 3% | — | 5.1¢ | |
| Another Party Wins | 1% | — | 1.9¢ |
National 0-5%
24%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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