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Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?

Chance

99%

Buy Yes

98.8¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

1.4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$3.9K

as Polymarket reports it · 1 fills

Spread

0.2¢

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 6:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 17 seconds ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 98.6¢35$35
  • 98.5¢113$111
  • 98.2¢30$29
  • 98.1¢233$229
  • 98¢200$196

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 98.8¢750$741
  • 98.9¢2,853$2.8K
  • 99.8¢5$5
  • 99.9¢29$29
Spread
0.2¢
Mid
98.7¢
Microprice
98.6¢
Within 5¢
$600 · $40
More money on NoImbalance +87%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 23 minutes agoBought No at 1.2¢$0
  • 2 days agoSold Yes at 98.6¢$6

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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