Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1.1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 0%-35%?3.8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 35%-45%?3.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 45%-50%?4.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 50%-55%?10.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?33¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?31¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 65%-70%?39¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 70%-75%?6.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 75% or more?6.8¢