AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic or Republican party in the Alabama's 4th congressional district House election.
Polymarket$14 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 65-70% | 33% | — | 37¢ | |
| Republican 55-60% | 33% | — | 33¢ | |
| Republican 60-65% | 28% | — | 30¢ | |
| Republican 50-55% | 5% | — | 10.2¢ | |
| Republican 75%+ | 4% | — | 6.8¢ | |
| Republican 70-75% | 3% | — | 5.6¢ | |
| Republican 45-50% | 3% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| Republican 35-45% | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Republican 0-35% | 2% | — | 3.8¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 1% | — | 1.1¢ |
Republican 65-70%
33%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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