Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 45% or more?

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

3.7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 0%-5%?3.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 15%-20%?8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 20%-25%?1.4¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 25%-30%?40¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 30%-35%?44¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 35%-40%?11¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 40%-45%?6¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election by 5%-15%?17¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MA-04 House election?0.9¢

Latest trades

yesterdayBought No at 99.7¢$10
yesterdayBought No at 99.7¢$17
yesterdayBought No at 99.5¢$40
yesterdayBought No at 99.3¢$10
yesterdayBought No at 99.4¢$20