MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the Democratic party's margin of victory in the MA-04 House election.
Polymarket$209 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 25-30% | 38% | — | 40¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 34% | — | 36¢ | |
| Democrat 5-15% | 11% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 5% | — | 8¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 3% | — | 3.9¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 2% | — | 3.7¢ | |
| Democrat 45%+ | 2% | — | 2.8¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 0.9¢ |
Democrat 25-30%
38%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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