Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 85%-90%?

Chance

18%

Buy Yes

20¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

84¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 19 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 0%-50%?1.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 50%-60%?4.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 60%-65%?6.3¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 65%-70%?0.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 70%-75%?16¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 75%-80%?30¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 80%-85%?37¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 90% or more?8.3¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election?0.4¢

Latest trades

9 hours agoBought Yes at 16¢$3
9 hours agoBought Yes at 15¢$3
9 hours agoSold No at 85¢$125
9 hours agoBought Yes at 15¢$3