MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves to the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the US House election for Maryland's 4th congressional district.
Polymarket$146 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 80-85% | 34% | — | 39¢ | |
| Democrat 75-80% | 30% | — | 34¢ | |
| Democrat 85-90% | 18% | — | 19¢ | |
| Democrat 70-75% | 17% | — | 19¢ | |
| Democrat 60-65% | 5% | — | 5.8¢ | |
| Democrat 50-60% | 3% | — | 4.5¢ | |
| Democrat 90%+ | 3% | — | 3.9¢ | |
| Democrat 0-50% | 1% | — | 1.2¢ | |
| Republican Wins | <1% | — | 0.4¢ | |
| Democrat 65-70% | <1% | — | 0.2¢ |
Democrat 80-85%
34%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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