Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 20%-25%?

Chance

16%

Buy Yes

17¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

84¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 21 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 0%-10%?68.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 10%-15%?14¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 15%-20%?6¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 25%-30%?27¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 30%-35%?19¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 35%-40%?18¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 40% or more?10¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election?5¢

Latest trades

16 hours agoSold No at 89¢$5
16 hours agoBought Yes at 11¢$5
yesterdayBought No at 85¢$17