PA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the Democratic candidate's margin of victory in the PA-04 US House election.
Polymarket$49 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 25-30% | 25% | — | 26¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 18% | — | 18¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 16% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 16% | — | 19¢ | |
| Democrat 0-10% | 13% | — | 25.2¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 12% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 40%+ | 8% | — | 11¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 3% | — | 6¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 3% | — | 5¢ |
Democrat 25-30%
25%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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