Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?

Chance

30%

Buy Yes

31¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

72¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 27 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 0%-5%?2.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 15%-20%?4¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 20%-25%?6.6¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 25%-30%?5.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 30%-35%?14¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 35%-40%?23¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 40%-45%?33¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 5%-15%?3.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election?1.5¢

Latest trades

7 hours agoBought Yes at 24¢$3
yesterdaySold No at 69¢$14