VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the VA-04 House election.
Polymarket$24 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 40-45% | 29% | — | 36¢ | |
| Democrat 45%+ | 25% | — | 37¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 22% | — | 31¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 13% | — | 15¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 5% | — | 8.8¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 3% | — | 6.1¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 3% | — | 4¢ | |
| Democrat 5-15% | 3% | — | 3.1¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 2% | — | 2.7¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 1.5¢ |
Democrat 40-45%
29%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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