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PolymarketPolymarket· Texas Senate · Texas Midterm · Senate midterms · Ken Paxton

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Chance

56%

Buy Yes

57¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

44¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 8 minutes ago.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 31 minutes agoSold Yes at 56¢$7
  • 44 minutes agoBought Yes at 57¢$80
  • 56 minutes agoBought Yes at 57¢$39
  • 56 minutes agoBought No at 43¢$71
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 43¢$25
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 43¢$206
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 43¢$9
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 57¢$285
  • 3 hours agoBought Yes at 57¢$5
  • 3 hours agoBought Yes at 57¢$3