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PolymarketPolymarket· Texas Senate · Texas Midterm · Senate midterms · Ken Paxton

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Chance

44%

Buy Yes

45¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

56¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 19 minutes ago.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoBought No at 56¢$6
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 56¢$17
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 56¢$6
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 56¢$195
  • 4 hours agoBought Yes at 45¢$2
  • 5 hours agoBought Yes at 44¢$2,200
  • 6 hours agoSold Yes at 43¢$3
  • 8 hours agoSold Yes at 43¢$0
  • 9 hours agoBought No at 56¢$12
  • 9 hours agoBought No at 56¢$11