Polymarket· Science · Weather · earthquake · Earthquakes

Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?

Chance

75%

Buy Yes

75¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

26¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 19 minutes ago. Ends Jan 4, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.0 – 8.1?12¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3?9.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.4 – 8.5?4.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.6 – 8.7?7.8¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.8 – 8.9?2.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 9.0 or above?6¢

Latest trades

yesterdaySold No at 25¢$0